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Cardiovascular and Kidney Outcomes and Mortality With Long-Acting Injectable and Oral Glucagon-Like Peptide 1
Matthew M Y Lee1, Naveed Sattar1, Rodica Pop-Busui2
1School of Cardiovascular & Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, U.K.
Background:
Glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) reduce the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in type 2 diabetes (T2D), although whether benefits extend to both subcutaneous and oral formulations remains unclear.
Purpose:
In these meta-analyses, including new data from the Semaglutide cardiOvascular oUtcomes triaL (SOUL) (oral semaglutide) and Evaluate Renal Function with Semaglutide Once Weekly (FLOW) trial, we examined cardiovascular (CV) and kidney benefits and risks of long-acting (defined as having pharmacokinetics sufficient to provide 24-h activity) GLP-1RA in T2D.
Data Sources:
A systematic review of PubMed was conducted (to 7 February 2025).
Study Selection:
Randomized placebo-controlled CV and kidney outcomes trials of GLP-1RA with ≥500 individuals with T2D were included.
Data Extraction:
A random-effects model was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for MACE, its components, all-cause mortality, hospitalization for heart failure (HHF), a composite kidney outcome (kidney failure [kidney replacement therapy or persistent estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] <15 mL/min/1.73 m2], sustained ≥50% eGFR decline or nearest equivalent, or kidney-related death), worsening kidney function, and safety outcomes.
Data Synthesis:
Across 10 trials (n = 71,351), long-acting GLP-1RA reduced incidence rate of MACE by 14% (HR 0.86 [95% CI 0.81, 0.90]; I2 = 27.6%), HHF by 14% (0.86 [0.79, 0.93]; I2 = 2.1%), and the composite kidney outcome by 17% (0.83 [0.75, 0.92]; I2 = 20.4%) and all-cause mortality by 12% (0.88 [0.82, 0.93]; I2 = 17.5%). A consistent 14% reduction was seen for all MACE components. There was no significant heterogeneity by GLP-1RA administration route (subcutaneous vs. oral). There were no increased risks of severe hypoglycemia, retinopathy, or pancreatic events.
Limitations:
Trial-level meta-analyses preclude detailed subgroup analyses and may introduce ecological bias.
Conclusions:
As a group, long-acting GLP-1RA, including both injectable and oral formulations, reduce incidence of MACE, HHF, and kidney events and all-cause mortality in T2D.
Insights
Long-acting glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA), including oral and injectable forms, significantly reduce cardiovascular events, heart failure hospitalizations, and kidney disease progression in type 2 diabetes patients. These benefits were observed without increasing risks of severe hypoglycemia or retinopathy.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Nephrology
- Endocrinology
Background:
- Glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) are known to reduce major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in type 2 diabetes (T2D).
- Uncertainty exists regarding whether these cardiovascular benefits apply to both subcutaneous and oral GLP-1RA formulations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the cardiovascular (CV) and kidney benefits and risks of long-acting GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D).
- Inclusion of new data from the Semaglutide cardiOvascular oUtcomes triaL (SOUL) and the Evaluate Renal Function with Semaglutide Once Weekly (FLOW) trial.
Main Methods:
- Systematic review of randomized placebo-controlled trials (RCTs) of GLP-1RA with ≥500 participants with T2D, published up to February 7, 2025.
- Meta-analysis using a random-effects model to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for MACE, its components, all-cause mortality, hospitalization for heart failure (HHF), composite kidney outcomes, and safety events.
- Trials included long-acting GLP-1RA with pharmacokinetics providing 24-hour activity.
Main Results:
- Across 10 trials (n=71,351), long-acting GLP-1RA reduced MACE by 14% (HR 0.86), HHF by 14% (HR 0.86), composite kidney outcomes by 17% (HR 0.83), and all-cause mortality by 12% (HR 0.88).
- Consistent 14% reduction observed for all MACE components.
- No significant heterogeneity was found based on GLP-1RA administration route (subcutaneous vs. oral); no increased risks of severe hypoglycemia, retinopathy, or pancreatic events were noted.
Conclusions:
- Long-acting GLP-1RA, encompassing both injectable and oral formulations, demonstrate significant benefits in reducing MACE, HHF, kidney events, and all-cause mortality in patients with T2D.
- These findings support the broad use of long-acting GLP-1RA for comprehensive risk reduction in T2D.
- Trial-level meta-analyses have limitations, including potential ecological bias and preclusion of detailed subgroup analyses.
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