Critical review of patient outcome study in head and neck cancer radiotherapy

Rapid technological advances in radiation therapy have significantly improved dose delivery and tumor control for head and neck cancers. However, treatment-related toxicities caused by high-dose exposure to critical structures remain a significant clinical challenge, underscoring the need for accurate prediction of clinical outcomes-encompassing both tumor control and adverse events (AEs). This review critically evaluates the evolution of data-driven approaches in predicting patient outcomes in head and neck cancer patients treated with radiation therapy, from traditional dose-volume constraints to cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI) and causal inference framework. The integration of linear energy transfer in patient outcomes study, which has uncovered critical mechanisms behind unexpected toxicity, was also introduced for proton therapy. Three transformative methodological advances are reviewed: radiomics, AI-based algorithms, and causal inference frameworks. While radiomics has enabled quantitative characterization of medical images, AI models have demonstrated superior capability than traditional models. However, the field faces significant challenges in translating statistical correlations from real-world data into interventional clinical insights. We highlight that how causal inference methods can bridge this gap by providing a rigorous framework for identifying treatment effects. Looking ahead, we envision that combining these complementary approaches, especially the interventional prediction models, will enable more personalized treatment strategies, ultimately improving both tumor control and quality of life for head and neck cancer patients treated with radiation therapy.