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Burden of acute and long-term COVID-19: a nationwide study in Bahrain
Mariam Murad1, Stephen L Atkin1, Pearl Wasif1
1Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Al Muharraq, Bahrain.
Insights
Post-COVID-19 conditions (PCC) affect over 1,000 individuals, particularly older women with risk factors. Vaccination is crucial to prevent SARS-CoV-2 complications and post-COVID-19 conditions.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) can result in long-term health issues, known as sequelae.
- Understanding the acute and post-acute impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection is essential for public health strategies.
- Identifying populations at higher risk for post-COVID-19 conditions (PCC) is critical for targeted interventions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the acute and post-acute burden of SARS-CoV-2 infection within the Bahraini population.
- To identify demographic and clinical factors associated with the development of post-COVID-19 conditions.
- To analyze the incidence and mortality rates of acute COVID-19 and PCC during different pandemic surges.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective observational study was conducted using the national administrative database in Bahrain from May 2021 to April 2023.
- Post-COVID-19 condition cases were identified based on World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines.
- All COVID-19 cases were confirmed via real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing.
Main Results:
- Out of 13,067 COVID-19 cases, 1,045 developed PCC. Individuals with PCC were often older women with pre-existing risk factors and a history of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection.
- Incidence rates for PCC increased significantly from the Alpha to Omicron surges (0.27 to 19.3 per 100,000).
- Mortality rates were highest in individuals aged 65 and older during the Delta surge for both acute COVID-19 and PCC.
Conclusions:
- Timely national vaccination programs are recommended before new COVID-19 surges to mitigate complications.
- Vaccination can help prevent severe outcomes and post-COVID-19 conditions, especially in vulnerable populations.
- Focusing on older adults and individuals with risk factors is key to reducing the burden of SARS-CoV-2 infection and its sequelae.
Background:
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) may lead to long-term sequelae. This study aimed to understand the acute and post-acute burden of SARS-CoV-2 infection and to identify high-risk groups for post-COVID-19 conditions (PCC).
Methods:
A retrospective observational study of the Bahraini population was conducted between 1 May 2021 and 30 April 2023, utilizing the national administrative database. PCC cases were defined according to WHO guidelines. All COVID-19 cases were confirmed using real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR).
Results:
Of 13,067 COVID-19 cases, 12,022 of them experienced acute COVID-19, and 1,045 of them developed PCC. Individuals with PCC tended to be older women with risk factors and instances of SARS-CoV-2 reinfection. The incidence rates per 100,000 individuals during the Alpha pandemic surge (2020), Delta pandemic surge (2021), and Omicron pandemic surge (2022) were 2.2, 137.2, and 222.5 for acute COVID-19, and 0.27, 10.5, and 19.3, respectively, for PCC cases. The death rates per 100,000 individuals during the Alpha, Delta, and Omicron pandemic surges were 3, 112, and 76, respectively, for acute COVID-19 and 1, 10, and 8, respectively, for PCC. The death rate was highest among those aged 65 and older during the Delta pandemic surge.
Conclusion:
These findings suggest the need for a timely national vaccination program prior to new COVID-19 surges to prevent complications related to SARS-CoV-2 infection, particularly in the older adult and in non-older adult individuals with risk factors.
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