Visual ordinal grading of aortic valve calcification on routine non-gated chest CT predicts prognosis and alters

Samuel G S Gunning1, John Graby2,3, Yashesh Mody2

  • 1Department of Anaesthetics, Royal United Hospitals Bath NHS Foundation Trust, Avon, UK.

European Radiology
|April 2, 2025
PubMed

Insights

Aortic valve calcification (AVC) on chest CTs is linked to aortic stenosis (AS) and predicts mortality. Severe AVC independently predicts all-cause mortality, supporting its reporting in clinical practice.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiovascular Imaging
  • Radiology
  • Clinical Outcomes Research

Background:

  • Current guidelines recommend reporting aortic valve calcification (AVC) on all chest CT scans.
  • The clinical and prognostic significance of AVC detection on routine chest CTs remains uncertain.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the frequency, severity, and association of AVC with aortic stenosis (AS) on echocardiography.
  • To evaluate the prognostic implications of AVC, including its association with all-cause mortality.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 1377 chest CTs from January to December 2015.
  • AVC and coronary artery calcification (CAC) were graded for severity.
  • Echocardiography reports within 5 years were reviewed for AS; clinical outcomes were recorded.

Main Results:

  • AVC was present in 25% of patients, increasing with age and more prevalent in males.
  • 16% of patients with AVC had AS on echocardiography; AVC sensitivity and specificity for AS were 91% and 70%.
  • AVC independently predicted all-cause mortality (53% incidence), with severe AVC showing a significant association (HR 1.56).

Conclusions:

  • Aortic valve calcification (AVC) is associated with aortic stenosis (AS) and is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality.
  • These findings support reporting AVC, particularly severe AVC, as a prognostic marker in routine chest CTs.
  • Further validation in prospective cohorts is needed to refine clinical practice guidelines.
Abstract