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Association of Vascular Aging Phenotypes with Adverse Clinical Outcomes in the Chinese Population: A Multicentre
Ting Xu1,2, Yucong Zhang1,2, Yi Zhou3
1Department of Geriatrics, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, People's Republic of China.
Insights
Vascular aging phenotypes predict clinical outcomes. Early vascular aging (EVA) increases risks for adverse events, while supernormal vascular aging (SUPERNOVA) shows protective effects, independent of traditional risk scores.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Aging Research
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Vascular aging (VAg) is a critical determinant of cardiovascular health.
- Understanding VAg phenotypes can refine risk prediction beyond chronological age (CA).
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the clinical implications of VAg phenotypes.
- To classify VAg into early (EVA), normal, and supernormal (SUPERNOVA) based on the difference between CA and vascular age (VA).
Main Methods:
- Defined VA using multivariable linear regression with arterial parameters and risk factors in a cross-sectional cohort (n=15580).
- Classified VAg phenotypes based on Δ-age percentiles.
- Utilized Cox survival analysis in an independent prospective cohort (n=5316) to assess associations with adverse clinical outcomes.
Main Results:
- Compared to normal VAg, EVA showed significantly increased risk for adverse outcomes (HR: 2.43) and cardiovascular events, including stroke and myocardial infarction.
- SUPERNOVA phenotype demonstrated a decreased risk for adverse outcomes (HR: 0.75).
- VAg phenotypes improved cardiovascular event prediction models, enhancing C-statistics.
Conclusions:
- This study is the first to validate VAg phenotypes using multicentric data and external validation in China.
- VAg phenotypes offer a potential tool for identifying individuals susceptible or resilient to vascular aging.
- The findings highlight the clinical utility of VAg phenotypes in cardiovascular risk stratification.
Purpose:
This study aimed to investigate the clinical implications of vascular aging (VAg) phenotypes based on the difference between chronological age (CA) and vascular age (VA).
Patients And Methods:
We defined VA as the predicted age in a multivariable linear regression model including structural and functional parameters of arteries and conventional risk factors, in a multicentric, cross-sectional cohort (n=15580). According to the 10th and 90th percentiles of Δ-age (CA minus VA), we then classified the status of VAg into 3 phenotypes: the early VAg (EVA), the Normal VAg and the supernormal VAg (SUPERNOVA). We used Cox survival analysis to investigate the association between VAg phenotypes and the risk for adverse clinical outcomes (including all-cause death and cardiovascular disease) in an independent, prospective cohort (n=5316).
Results:
In the prospective cohort (11.07 years, 927 events), when compared to the Normal VAg phenotype, EVA had an increased risk (HR: 2.43; 95% CI: 1.80-3.27) and SUPERNOVA had a decrease risk (HR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.64-0.90) of adverse clinical outcomes, in particular stroke events. EVA also showed a higher risk of myocardial infarction (HR: 3.21, 95% CI: 1.56-6.62) and all-cause death (HR: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.12-2.85). The associations were independent of the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk score. Further, the C-statistics increased 0.010 (P < 0.001), 0.013 (P < 0.001) and 0.016 (P < 0.001) separately when adding baPWV, adding the combination of baPWV and CIMT, and adding the VAg phenotypes to a model of conventional risk factors in predicting cardiovascular events.
Conclusion:
This is the first study to evaluate the clinical implications of VAg phenotypes using multicentric data and undergone external validation in China. Our results emphasized that the classification of VAg phenotypes may be a potential tool to identify individuals who were susceptible to or resilient to VAg.
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