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Updated: May 17, 2025

Determining Genome-wide Transcript Decay Rates in Proliferating and Quiescent Human Fibroblasts
Published on: January 2, 2018
Evaluating transcriptional alterations associated with ageing and developing age prediction models based on the human
Ivan Duran1, Amy Tsurumi2,3
1Department of Surgery, Massachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, 50 Blossom St., Boston, MA, 02114, USA.
This study developed blood transcriptome-based age prediction models using machine learning. Gradient Boosting methods like XGBoost and LightGBM showed superior performance in predicting biological age from gene expression data.
Area of Science:
- Genomics
- Bioinformatics
- Computational Biology
Background:
- Ageing is associated with molecular changes in DNA methylome and proteome.
- Existing ageing clock models often lack transcriptomic data from human blood.
- Machine learning algorithms can potentially develop accurate age prediction models.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and compare age prediction models using human blood transcriptome data.
- To identify genes and biological pathways associated with ageing.
- To evaluate the performance of different machine learning algorithms for age prediction.
Main Methods:
- Utilized blood transcriptome data from 10K Immunomes repository (ages 21-90).
- Applied machine learning algorithms: Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO), Elastic Net (EN), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Light Gradient-Boosting Machine (LightGBM).
- Performed differential gene expression analysis, gene ontology, pathway, and disease ontology analysis.
Main Results:
- XGBoost (142 genes) and LightGBM (149 genes) outperformed LASSO (7 genes) and EN (9 genes) in age prediction.
- Gradient Boosting models achieved higher accuracy on training, test, and external validation sets.
- Identified differentially regulated transcripts and associated biological functions related to ageing.
Conclusions:
- Blood transcriptome-based age prediction models offer a feasible method for monitoring biological ageing.
- These models provide molecular insights into the ageing process.
- Further external validation in diverse populations and mechanistic studies are recommended.
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