Evaluation of Acute Severe Ulcerative Colitis Predictors for Steroid Therapy Refractoriness

One-third of patients presenting with acute severe ulcerative colitis (ASUC) are steroid-refractory and require either colectomy or rescue therapy. Timely identification of risk factors predictive of steroid non-response in ASUC patients is crucial for initiating early rescue therapy.

To identify factors predicting steroid failure or colectomy in ASUC.

Records of ASUC admissions over a six-year period in a tertiary inflammatory bowel disease center were included. Clinical variables, laboratory markers, and endoscopic scores at admission were obtained. The primary outcome was non-response to intravenous (IV) steroids. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed to identify factors associated with steroid non-response. Day-one and day-three composite indices were calculated. Their predictive value was assessed against the outcomes of steroid failure and requiring colectomy.

One hundred and three ASUC patients were included, of which 51 were steroid non-responders. Among non-responders, 48 received rescue therapy, and 6 underwent colectomy at index admission (3 after rescue therapy and 3 without). Day-one albumin (OR 0.906, P = 0.043) and being on oral steroids at entry (OR 3.009, P = 0.014) predicted non-response to steroids in both univariate and multivariate analyses. Admission hemoglobin level predicted steroid non-response only in univariate (OR 0.982, P = 0.047). Although an old score, Travis criteria predicted both steroid non-response (OR 8.4, P = 0.001) and requiring colectomy (OR 22.19, P = 0.006).

Lower albumin levels and being on oral steroids at admission for ASUC can predict IV steroid failure, and we suggest the possibility of early initiation of advanced therapy in this subgroup.