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Reliable imputation of incomplete crash data for predicting driver injury severity
Xiaowei Gao1, Xinke Jiang2, Dingyi Zhuang3
1SpaceTimeLab, University College London (UCL), London, UK.
Abstract:
Traffic crash analyses are frequently challenged by incomplete documentation, particularly in standardised multi-party crash full records. Traditional imputation methods like MICE and KNN, while effective for single-category analyses, fail to address the complex interdependencies inherent in standardised crash records where different types of road user are present. This study introduces a novel graph-based imputation framework that integrates an Inexact Match Bipartite-Graph with Contrastive Learning in a Transformer-GNN architecture, providing a unified solution to handle missing data of various crash types in a complete crash record database. Testing on UK traffic crash records (2018-2022) demonstrates the robust performance of the imputation model, achieving imputation accuracy between 99.24% and 94.74% across missing data rates from 10% to 70%. In the downstream task of classifying the severity of the injury, our imputed data set proved to be highly reliable, achieving a Gmean score of 62.19% to identify levels of imbalanced severity, even under severe missing with a missing rate of 70%. Furthermore, explainable SHAP values demonstrated that data imputation preserved the most important contributing factors. These results validate our framework's effectiveness in maintaining both data integrity and essential relationship structures in standardised crash records, advancing the field of traffic safety analysis through improved imputation methodology.
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