Incidence of Medical Complexity in Military-Connected Children

JoAnna K Leyenaar1,2, Jackielyn Lanning3,4, Celeste J Romano3,4

  • 1Dartmouth Health Children's, Lebanon, New Hampshire.

Pediatrics
|April 7, 2025
PubMed

Insights

Approximately 1 in 9 US military children develop complex medical conditions by age 5. Congenital anomalies, preterm birth, and low birthweight significantly increase this risk, informing care and resource allocation for these children.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Health
  • Public Health
  • Health Services Research

Background:

  • Children with medical complexity (CMC) face higher risks of adverse health outcomes and mortality.
  • Supporting the specialized needs of CMC requires understanding their diagnosis incidence and risk factors.
  • This study focuses on a US military family cohort to identify CMC prevalence and associated birth outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To estimate the cumulative incidence of diagnoses defining CMC by age 60 months in live births among US military families.
  • To examine the association between specific birth outcomes and the development of CMC-defining diagnoses.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective cohort study using Department of Defense health care claims data (2005-2020).
  • Identification of CMC using the Complex Chronic Condition Classification System and Pediatric Medical Complexity Algorithm from birth to 60 months.
  • Fine-Gray regression models were used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for birth outcome associations.

Main Results:

  • The cumulative incidence of CMC-defining diagnoses by age 60 months was 12.0% (108,133 of 975,233 births).
  • One-third of CMC diagnoses occurred neonatally, and nearly two-thirds occurred during infancy.
  • High risk for CMC was associated with congenital anomalies (aHR=25.2), very preterm birth (aHR=17.6), and very low birthweight (aHR=13.7).

Conclusions:

  • Nearly 1 in 9 children in US military families are diagnosed with complex medical conditions by age 5.
  • Preterm delivery, congenital anomalies, and low birthweight are strongly associated with increased risk of CMC.
  • Findings support clinical counseling and resource allocation for this vulnerable pediatric population.
Abstract

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