Prognostic value of the modified Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score in patients treated with cardiac
Tianxin Long1, Yu Yu1, Sijing Cheng1
1Cardiac Arrhythmia Center, Department of Cardiology, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Background:
Hepatorenal dysfunction is prevalent among individuals with heart failure (HF).
Objective:
This study investigated prognostic value of the modified Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (Model for End-Stage Liver Disease excluding international normalized ratio [MELD-XI] scores and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with albumin replacing international normalized ratio [MELD-Albumin]) score in patients undergoing cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT).
Methods:
We retrospectively evaluated 365 patients (mean age 58.7 ± 11.1 years; 64.9% men) undergoing CRT implantation between 2007 and 2019. Patients were divided into 4 groups based on the modified MELD score quartiles before CRT. The primary endpoint was the combination of all-cause mortality and HF hospitalization, whereas the secondary endpoint was CRT response at 6 months.
Results:
During mean follow-up of 3.3 years (interquartile range 1.9-5.2 years), 168 patients reached the primary endpoint. Logistic regression revealed the MELD-Albumin score was independently associated with CRT response, even after adjusting for covariates (odds ratio 1.10; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-1.19; P = .013). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that patients with a higher MELD-XI and MELD-Albumin score had a greater risk of adverse outcomes (log-rank test: P < .001). A Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that the modified MELD score remained significantly associated with adverse outcomes after adjusting for clinical and echocardiographic factors (MELD-XI: hazard ratio 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.11, P = .006; MELD-Albumin: hazard ratio 1.10, 95% CI 1.05-1.16, P < .001). Furthermore, receiver-operating characteristic analysis indicated that the MELD-Albumin score provided a stronger prognostic value for long-term adverse outcomes in patients undergoing CRT than the MELD-XI score (MELD-Albumin: area under the curve 0.692, 95% CI 0.644-0.742; MELD-XI: area under the curve 0.659, 95% CI 0.608-0.715; P = .008).
Conclusion:
The MELD-Albumin score may be useful for stratifying patients at risk for CRT response and adverse outcomes in those undergoing CRT for HF.
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