Prognostic value of molecular classification in stage IV endometrial cancer

Multiple studies have proven the prognostic value of molecular classification for stage I-III endometrial cancer patients. However, studies on the relevance of molecular classification for stage IV endometrial cancer patients are lacking. Hypothetically, poor prognostic molecular subtypes are more common in higher stages of endometrial cancer. Considering the poor prognosis of stage IV endometrial cancer patients, it is questionable whether molecular classification has additional prognostic value. Therefore, we determined which molecular subclasses are found in stage IV endometrial cancer and if there is a correlation with progression-free and overall survival.

A retrospective multicenter cohort study was conducted using data from five Dutch hospitals. Patients with stage IV endometrial cancer at diagnosis who were treated with primary cytoreductive surgery or cytoreductive surgery after induction chemotherapy between January 2000 and December 2018 were included. Exclusion criteria were age <18 years or recurrent disease. The molecular classification was performed centrally on all tumor samples according to the World Health Organization 2020 classification (including POLE and estrogen receptor status). The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate progression free and overall survival in the molecular subclasses, for the different histological subtypes and for estrogen receptor positive versus estrogen receptor negative tumors. Groups were compared using the log-rank test.

164 stage IV endometrial cancer patients were molecularly classified. Median age of the patients was 67 years (range 33-86). Most patients presented with a non-endometrioid histological subtype (58%). Intra-abdominal complete cytoreductive surgery was achieved in 60.4% of the patients. 101 tumors (61.6%) were classified as p53 abnormal, 35 (21.3%) as no specific molecular profile, 21 (12.8%) as mismatch repair deficient, and 6 (3%) as POLE mutated. Molecular classification had no significant impact on progression free (p=0.056) or overall survival (p=0.12) after cytoreductive surgery. Overall survival was affected by histologic subtype (p<0.0001) and estrogen receptor status (p=0.013).

The distribution of the molecular subclasses in stage IV endometrial cancer patients differed substantially from the distribution in stage I-III endometrial cancer patients, with the unfavorable subclasses being more frequently present. Although the molecular classification was not prognostic in stage IV endometrial cancer, it could guide adjuvant treatment decisions.