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Updated: May 15, 2025

An R-Based Landscape Validation of a Competing Risk Model
Published on: September 16, 2022
Insights Into Peritoneal Dialysis Outcomes: An Approach Using Competing Risks Analysis.
Ana Cunha1, Beatriz Gil Braga1, Sofia Sousa2
1Department of Nephrology, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Santo António, Unidade Local de Saúde de Santo António, Porto, Portugal.
The main risk for peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients is transitioning to hemodialysis (HD), which is not influenced by baseline characteristics. Choosing PD-first positively impacts kidney transplant (KT) access and maintains low mortality rates.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Clinical Epidemiology
Background:
- Peritoneal dialysis (PD) outcomes are complex due to varied results.
- Analyzing PD patient outcomes requires understanding factors influencing mortality, transition to hemodialysis (HD), and kidney transplantation (KT).
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate mortality, HD transfer, and KT rates in PD patients.
- To identify baseline patient characteristics affecting these PD outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Observational, retrospective, registry-based, single-center cohort study.
- Included 722 incident adult PD patients (1985-2022).
- Used competitive risks analysis (cumulative incidence functions, Fine and Gray model).
Main Results:
- The highest probability at 60 months was transfer to HD (0.38), followed by KT (0.27) and death (0.19).
- Diabetes correlated with increased mortality (HR 1.71).
- PD-first approach reduced HD transfer risk (HR 0.76) and increased KT likelihood (HR 1.73).
- Vascular access as PD reason linked to higher mortality (HR 2.16).
Conclusions:
- Transition to HD is the primary risk for PD patients, independent of baseline factors.
- A PD-first strategy enhances KT access and ensures low, unaffected mortality rates, confirming PD safety.
- Vascular access-driven PD initiation is associated with increased mortality, possibly due to comorbidities.
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