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Improving air quality prediction using hybrid BPSO with BWAO for feature selection and hyperparameters optimization.

Mohamed S Sawah1, Hela Elmannai2, Alaa A El-Bary3

  • 1Department of Information Systems, Al Alson Higher Institute, Cairo, Egypt. me1900@fayoum.edu.eg.

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|April 16, 2025
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Summary

Accurate air quality forecasting is crucial for public health. This study enhances air quality prediction models using machine learning, optimizing feature selection and hyperparameter tuning for improved accuracy and efficiency.

Keywords:
Air quality index (AQI)Air quality predictionBPSO-BWAO-RFFeature selectionHybrid optimization

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Data Science
  • Machine Learning

Background:

  • Air pollution presents a substantial risk to public health and environmental sustainability.
  • Accurate air quality prediction models are essential for effective environmental management and public health protection.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and optimize machine learning models for forecasting air quality using annual AQI data.
  • To identify the most relevant features for AQI prediction through advanced feature selection techniques.
  • To enhance model accuracy and computational efficiency via hyperparameter optimization.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized annual Air Quality Index (AQI) dataset from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
  • Applied Binary Grey Wolf Optimizer (BGWO), Particle Swarm Optimization (BPSO), Whale Optimization Algorithm (BWAO), and a hybrid BPSO-BWAO for feature selection.
  • Evaluated various machine learning models including Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting (GB), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Linear Regression (LR).
  • Implemented hyperparameter tuning using a novel hybrid PSO-WAO approach.

Main Results:

  • The hybrid BPSO-BWAO feature selection method demonstrated improved stability and feature set balance, selecting key AQI indicators.
  • The Random Forest model, after feature selection, achieved an MSE of 53.93 and an R² of 0.9710, with reduced fitting time.
  • Further optimization with the hybrid PSO-WAO enhanced the Random Forest model, resulting in an improved MSE of 51.82 and an R² of 0.9821.

Conclusions:

  • Feature selection and hyperparameter optimization are critical for improving the accuracy and computational efficiency of air quality forecasting models.
  • The optimized Random Forest model provides a robust framework for reliable air quality prediction.
  • The study highlights the effectiveness of advanced optimization techniques in environmental data analysis.