Serum Osteopontin Enhances Hepatocellular Carcinoma Diagnosis and Predicts Anti-PD-L1 Immunotherapy Benefit

Osteopontin (OPN), a phosphorylated glycoprotein encoded by SPP1, critical in hepatic inflammation and fibrosis, requires further investigation for its role on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and predictive value for anti-programmed cell death ligand 1 (anti-PD-L1) immunotherapy responses.

Publicly available datasets were utilized to explore OPN expression in HCC. A retrospective cohort study involving 316 participants, recruited from January 2015 to March 2017. Serum OPN levels were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Diagnostic performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, a logistic regression model was developed for early HCC diagnosis. Prospective follow-up was conducted from 2017 to 2024 to evaluate overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) using Kaplan-Meier analyses. The survival benefit of anti-PD-L1 immunotherapy for patients with OPN patterns was investigated.

Serum OPN levels were significantly elevated in HCC compared to chronic liver disease and healthy individuals (both p <0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) for OPN was 0.903, with 88.2% sensitivity and 83.3% specificity, significantly superior to AFP alone (AUC: 0.707). A combined diagnostic model integrating OPN with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) enhanced accuracy further (AUC: 0.941). High OPN levels indicated higher tumor burden and predicted worse clinical outcomes (mean OS: 49.1 vs 75.1 months; mean DFS: 37.7 vs 60.9 months, respectively; both log-rank p <0.001). Anti-PD-L1 immunotherapy significantly prolonged survival (OS: 62.9 vs 38.0 months, p = 0.009; DFS: 48.7 vs 28.6 months, p = 0.033) in patients with OPN high pattern.

Serum OPN demonstrates standalone diagnostic value for HCC and enhances conventional biomarker panels when combined with AFP and AST. OPN high pattern identify patients likely to benefit from anti-PD-L1 immunotherapy, suggesting its dual utility as a diagnostic and predictive biomarker.