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Updated: May 17, 2025

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The role of random perturbations in the dynamic variability of a discrete predator-prey model: a stochastic
Irina Bashkirtseva1, Lev Ryashko2
1Ural Federal University, Lenina, 51, Ekaterinburg, Russia, 620000.
Abstract:
A problem of identification and mathematical analysis of stochastically-induced qualitative changes in nonlinear population dynamics is considered. We study this problem on the base of a discrete prey-predator model with the Holling type II functional response. Even in the deterministic case, this model exhibits a rich regular and chaotic behavior, including bistability. We study different noise-induced scenarios with transitions between regimes of persistence and extinction. In this study, we show a key role of geometry of basins of attraction and specific chaotic transients. In parametric analysis of the noise-induced extinction, the stochastic sensitivity technique and confidence domains method are used. This new mathematical method sheds light on the intrinsic mechanisms of noise-induced phenomena in population dynamics. We show how random fluctuations in the parameter of predator growth rate contract persistence zones of both prey and predator.
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