Coronary artery calcification distribution and progression in over 70 000 asymptomatic individuals: implications for

Da-Eun Sung1, Mi-Yeon Lee2, Jong-Young Lee3

  • 1Department of Internal Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.

Insights

Most asymptomatic adults have a zero coronary artery calcium (CAC) score, indicating low atherosclerosis. Significant CAC (>100) is rare, persisting in only 4% after 10 years, even in older individuals.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Preventive Medicine
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Subclinical atherosclerosis, indicated by coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring, is a key predictor of cardiovascular events.
  • Understanding the progression of CAC in asymptomatic individuals is crucial for risk stratification and preventive strategies.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine the prevalence and progression of coronary artery calcium (CAC) in a large cohort of asymptomatic adults.
  • To evaluate the duration for which a CAC score of 0 persists over time in this population.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 70,389 asymptomatic individuals aged over 30 years from Korea with at least two CAC score assessments between 2010 and 2022.
  • Subgroup analyses based on follow-up intervals (entire cohort, >=4 assessments within 10 years, follow-up after 5 years).
  • Assessment of age- and sex-specific CAC distributions, incidence of new CAC, and changes in CAC scores over 6-12 years for those with an initial score of 0.

Main Results:

  • 84% of participants (mean age 40.5 years, 87% men) had a baseline CAC score of 0; 93% of women had a baseline CAC score of 0.
  • Incident CAC developed in 16% of those with an initial score of 0 within 5-6 years, with only 1% exceeding a score of 100.
  • After 10 years, only 4% of the cohort exceeded a CAC score of 100, indicating a low prevalence of significant calcification.

Conclusions:

  • A baseline CAC score of 0 is common in asymptomatic adults, signifying minimal subclinical atherosclerosis.
  • Significant coronary calcification (CAC > 100) develops slowly, with a low percentage of individuals exceeding this threshold even after a decade of follow-up.
Abstract