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Study of Risk Factors Associated with Bad Outcome among Pediatric Patients with Tubercular Bacterial Meningitis
Sarika Gupta1, Akanksha D Srivastava2
1Department of Paediatrics, King George Medical University, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India.
Insights
Older children with altered consciousness, hydrocephalus, low CSF-to-plasma glucose ratio, or no Bacille Calmette-Guerin (BCG) immunization face higher risks of poor outcomes in tubercular bacterial meningitis (TBM). Early treatment is crucial.
Area of Science:
- Pediatrics
- Infectious Diseases
- Neurology
Background:
- Tubercular bacterial meningitis (TBM) poses a significant threat to pediatric populations globally.
- Identifying risk factors for poor outcomes is crucial for effective management and improved patient prognosis.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the risk factors associated with adverse outcomes in children diagnosed with TBM.
- To inform clinical practice and public health strategies for TBM management.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective cohort study involving 514 pediatric TBM patients from 2019-2023.
- Statistical analysis using SPSS version 16.0 to identify predictors of poor outcomes.
Main Results:
- 19.1% of patients experienced poor outcomes.
- Key risk factors identified include: age >5 years (OR=2.291), altered consciousness (OR=2.829), CSF-to-plasma glucose ratio <50% (OR=0.410), hydrocephalus (OR=2.857), and lack of BCG immunization (OR=3.638).
Conclusions:
- Childhood TBM is a severe public health concern with identifiable risk factors for poor outcomes.
- Timely initiation of antituberculosis therapy is essential, alongside targeted interventions for high-risk individuals.
Introduction:
The study aimed to evaluate the risk factors linked to poor outcomes in pediatric patients diagnosed with tubercular bacterial meningitis (TBM).
Methods:
A retrospective cohort study was conducted at King George's Medical University in India, focusing on children diagnosed with TBM (n = 514) over a 5-year period from 2019 to 2023. The study evaluates various aspects of TBM in this population, including clinical presentation, diagnostic methods, and outcomes. Statistical analyses for the study were conducted using SPSS version 16.0 (SPSS, Chicago, IL, USA).
Results:
Out of a total of 514 patients with TBM, 98 (19.1%) patients experienced a poor outcome. Multivariate analysis identified several factors associated with a poor outcome: age over 5 years (B = 0.829, P = 0.002, odds ratio [OR] = 2.291, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.344-3.904), altered consciousness (B = 1.040, P < 0.001, OR = 2.829, 95% CI: 1.686-4.747), a cerebrospinal fluid (CSF)-to-plasma glucose ratio <50% (B = -0.892, P = 0.001, OR = 0.410, 95% CI: 0.244-0.688), hydrocephalus (B = 1.050, P = 0.003, OR = 2.857, 95% CI: 1.417-5.760), and lack of Bacille Calmette-Guerin (BCG) immunization (B = 1.291, P < 0.001, OR = 3.638, 95% CI: 2.150-6.156).
Conclusion:
The study identified key risk factors for poor outcomes in childhood TBM, including age over 5 years, high CSF protein levels, coma, hydrocephalus, and inadequate BCG immunization. These factors underline the severity of childhood TBM as a public health issue and emphasize the need for timely initiation of antituberculosis therapy.
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