Enhancing relative humidity modelling using L2 regularization updates
Abdellah Ben Yahia1, Iman Kadir2, Abdelaziz Abdallaoui2
1Laboratory of Analytical Chemistry and Electrochemistry, Faculty of Sciences, Processes and Environment Team, URL-CNRST N 13, Moulay Ismail University, Meknes, Morocco. abd.benyahia@edu.umi.ac.ma.
L2 regularization, combined with PCA and SOM, effectively prevents overfitting in artificial neural networks (ANNs) for meteorological modeling. This approach enhances prediction accuracy for relative humidity by optimizing model parameters.
Area of Science:
- Meteorology
- Computer Science
- Data Science
Background:
- Overfitting is a common challenge in artificial neural networks (ANNs), leading to reduced generalization performance.
- Accurate prediction of meteorological variables, such as relative humidity, is crucial for various applications.
- Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Self-Organizing Maps (SOM) are valuable tools for analyzing complex meteorological datasets.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the efficacy of L2 regularization in mitigating overfitting in ANNs for meteorological data analysis.
- To evaluate the impact of the regularization coefficient (Lambda) on model performance and data distribution.
- To explore the synergistic benefits of combining PCA, SOM, and L2 regularization for enhanced relative humidity prediction.
Main Methods:
- Utilized meteorological data from Tangier (1985-2022) comprising eight variables influencing relative humidity.
- Applied Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to identify key correlations within the dataset.
- Employed Self-Organizing Maps (SOM) to uncover nuanced data structures and complex relationships.
- Implemented L2 regularization with varying Lambda values during the training of Kohonen and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) networks.
Main Results:
- PCA revealed significant correlations between variables like precipitation and relative humidity, but had limitations with non-linear relationships.
- SOM successfully complemented PCA by highlighting intricate data structures and detecting complex correlations.
- L2 regularization, specifically with Lambda = 0.01, effectively reduced data complexity and dispersion, thereby preventing overfitting.
- Optimizing Lambda during training improved weight biases in Kohonen and MLP networks, leading to enhanced prediction accuracy.
Conclusions:
- The combination of PCA, SOM, and L2 regularization offers a robust strategy for meteorological modeling.
- L2 regularization is a key technique for improving the performance and accuracy of ANNs in predicting relative humidity.
- This integrated approach enhances the reliability of meteorological predictions by addressing overfitting and uncovering complex data patterns.
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