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Published on: April 6, 2019
One pathogen does not an epidemic make: A review of interacting contagions, diseases, beliefs, and stories
Abstract:
From pathogens and computer viruses to genes and memes, contagion models have found widespread utility across the natural and social sciences. Despite their success and breadth of adoption, the approach and structure of these models remain surprisingly siloed by field. Given the siloed nature of their development and widespread use, one persistent assumption is that a given contagion can be studied in isolation, independently from what else might be spreading in the population. In reality, countless contagions of biological and social nature interact within hosts (interacting with existing beliefs, or the immune system) and across hosts (interacting in the environment, or affecting transmission mechanisms). Additionally, from a modeling perspective, we know that relaxing these assumptions has profound effects on the physics and translational implications of the models. Here, we review mechanisms for interactions in social and biological contagions, as well as the models and frameworks developed to include these interactions in the study of the contagions. We highlight existing problems related to the inference of interactions and to the scalability of mathematical models and identify promising avenues of future inquiries. In doing so, we highlight the need for interdisciplinary efforts under a unified science of contagions and for removing a common dichotomy between social and biological contagions.
Insights
Contagion models are siloed, yet real-world contagions interact. This review explores interaction mechanisms and models, advocating for a unified science of contagions.
Area of Science:
- Cross-disciplinary research
- Mathematical modeling
- Epidemiology
- Sociology
Background:
- Contagion models are widely used in natural and social sciences but are developed in field-specific silos.
- A common assumption is that contagions can be studied in isolation, ignoring interactions within and across hosts.
- These interactions significantly impact the dynamics and implications of contagion models.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review interaction mechanisms in social and biological contagions.
- To survey existing models and frameworks for incorporating these interactions.
- To identify challenges and future directions for studying interacting contagions.
Main Methods:
- Literature review of contagion models and interaction mechanisms.
- Analysis of existing frameworks for modeling coupled contagions.
- Identification of challenges in interaction inference and model scalability.
Main Results:
- Interactions between biological and social contagions are prevalent and complex.
- Current models often fail to capture these crucial interactions due to siloed development.
- Challenges exist in inferring interactions and scaling mathematical models.
Conclusions:
- A unified science of contagions is needed to bridge the gap between social and biological contagion studies.
- Interdisciplinary collaboration is essential for developing more realistic and comprehensive contagion models.
- Future research should focus on robust methods for inferring interactions and scalable modeling approaches.
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