A Prospective Evaluation of a Three-Gene Host Response Signature to Classify Tuberculosis Severity in Children

Brittney Sweetser1,2, Esin Nkereuwem3, Jascent Nakafeero4

  • 1Division of Pulmonary Diseases & Critical Care Medicine, University of California, Irvine, Orange, United States.

Insights

The Xpert MTB-Host Response (HR) test shows promise for assessing tuberculosis severity in children, nearing target accuracy in older children and confirmed cases. Further refinement is needed for younger children with less severe disease.

Area of Science:

  • Infectious Diseases
  • Pediatric Medicine
  • Biomarker Discovery

Background:

  • Accurate stratification of pediatric tuberculosis (TB) severity is crucial for appropriate treatment, yet point-of-care tools are lacking.
  • Short-course treatment regimens may benefit children with non-severe TB, necessitating reliable methods to distinguish disease severity.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To prospectively evaluate the Cepheid Xpert MTB-Host Response (HR) prototype cartridge for its ability to stratify TB severity in children with pulmonary TB (PTB).
  • To assess if the Xpert-HR test could achieve World Health Organization (WHO) target accuracy (≥90% sensitivity, ≥70% specificity) for treatment optimization.

Main Methods:

  • A prospective study involving 106 children (<15 years) with confirmed or unconfirmed PTB in The Gambia and Uganda.
  • Severity was defined using WHO guidelines for a four-month, drug-susceptible regimen.
  • Blood samples were tested using the HR cartridge for PCR-based detection of 3 mRNA genes, generating a TB score to classify severe TB.

Main Results:

  • The Xpert-HR test demonstrated an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.67, with 89.3% sensitivity and 29.5% specificity in all children with PTB.
  • Near-target accuracy was observed in children with Confirmed TB (91.7% sensitivity, 62.5% specificity) and in children aged 5-9 years (100% sensitivity, 66.7% specificity).
  • Lower specificity was noted in children with Unconfirmed TB (24.3%) and those younger than 5 years (28.2%).

Conclusions:

  • The Xpert-HR test shows potential for stratifying PTB severity in older children and those with Confirmed TB, approaching WHO target accuracy.
  • Lower specificity in children with Unconfirmed TB and younger children suggests a need for further optimization.
  • Child-specific host response signatures may be required to enhance the test's performance in younger children with paucibacillary disease.
Abstract