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Advances in Surrogate Modeling for Biological Agent-Based Simulations: Trends, Challenges, and Future Prospects
Kerri-Ann Norton1, Daniel Bergman2,3,4,5, Harsh Vardhan Jain6
1Computational Sciences Program, Bard College, 30 Campus Road, Annandale-on-Hudson, 12504, NY, USA.
Surrogate modeling makes complex agent-based models (ABMs) computationally feasible for biology and medicine. This approach speeds up parameter exploration and uncertainty analysis for these powerful computational tools.
Area of Science:
- Computational Biology
- Biomedical Informatics
- Systems Biology
Background:
- Agent-based modeling (ABM) is crucial for understanding complex biological and biomedical systems.
- High computational demands limit ABM's widespread application, especially with increasing model complexity and the curse of dimensionality.
- Parameter exploration and uncertainty analysis are often computationally prohibitive in traditional ABMs.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review traditional and surrogate-assisted methodologies for enhancing ABM computational efficiency.
- To synthesize recent advancements in surrogate-assisted approaches for biological and biomedical applications.
- To identify challenges and future research directions for surrogate-assisted ABMs.
Main Methods:
- Examination of traditional methods for parameter estimation, sensitivity analysis, and uncertainty quantification within ABMs.
- Synthesis of statistical, mechanistic, and machine learning-based surrogate modeling techniques.
- Emphasis on hybrid strategies combining mechanistic insights with machine learning.
Main Results:
- Surrogate modeling significantly reduces computational runtime for ABM analysis.
- Various surrogate approaches (statistical, mechanistic, ML, hybrid) offer different balances of interpretability and scalability.
- Emerging hybrid strategies show promise for integrating domain knowledge with data-driven methods.
Conclusions:
- Surrogate-assisted modeling is a viable solution to the computational limitations of ABMs.
- Hybrid approaches offer a promising path for interpretable and scalable ABM analysis.
- Standardized benchmarks are needed to advance methodological rigor and adoption in biology and medicine.
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