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Assessment of Circulating Tumor DNA Burden in Patients With Metastatic Gastric Cancer Using Real-World Data
Senaka A Peter1, Razvan Cristescu1, Carol Peña1
1Merck & Co, Inc, Rahway, NJ.
JCO Precision Oncology
|May 5, 2025
Summary
High circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) levels in metastatic gastric cancer (mGC) patients predict poorer outcomes with first-line chemotherapy. This ctDNA burden may serve as a prognostic biomarker for mGC.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Molecular Diagnostics
- Biomarker Research
Background:
- Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is an emerging biomarker in oncology.
- Gastric cancer (GC) shows potential for ctDNA's prognostic and predictive value.
- Real-world data (RWD) is crucial for validating biomarkers in clinical practice.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between pretreatment ctDNA burden and clinical outcomes.
- To analyze first-line (1L) treated metastatic gastric cancer (mGC) patients in the US.
- To assess ctDNA's role as a prognostic biomarker in mGC.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the GuardantINFORM real-world clinical-genomic database.
- Included mGC patients tested with Guardant360 before 1L treatment (June 2014-March 2022).
- Classified ctDNA burden (high/low) using median variant allele fraction (MVAF); analyzed time to treatment discontinuation (rwTTD), time to next treatment (rwTTNT), and overall survival (rwOS).
Main Results:
- 824 mGC patients identified; 91% had detectable ctDNA (median MVAF 2.9%).
- In chemo-treated patients (n=537), high ctDNA burden correlated with shorter rwTTNT (4.8 vs 7.4 months) and rwOS (13.2 vs 19.1 months).
- No significant association found for immunotherapy or trastuzumab-based treatments.
Conclusions:
- High pretreatment ctDNA burden is linked to worse outcomes in 1L chemotherapy-treated mGC patients.
- ctDNA burden demonstrates potential as a prognostic biomarker for mGC.
- RWD analysis supports ctDNA's clinical utility in mGC management.

