Exploring the influencing factors of abdominal aortic calcification events in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and

Haowen Lin1, Xiaoying Dong2, Yuhe Yin3

  • 1Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangdong, 510000, China.

Insights

Age, smoking, and kidney function are key to calcification in both CKD and non-CKD patients. Inflammatory markers are more critical for calcification risk in those with chronic kidney disease (CKD).

Area of Science:

  • Nephrology
  • Cardiology
  • Data Science

Background:

  • Calcification is common in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients.
  • Abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) predicts coronary calcification.
  • Identifying calcification drivers in CKD and non-CKD populations is crucial.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify key factors contributing to calcification.
  • To compare calcification determinants between CKD and non-CKD individuals.
  • To utilize machine learning for analyzing calcification predictors.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data.
  • Application of machine learning models to predict calcification.
  • Utilizing Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) for model interpretability.

Main Results:

  • Common calcification factors include age, eGFR, smoking, blood glucose, Ca*P, and UACR.
  • Age, smoking, and eGFR are top predictors in both groups.
  • Inflammatory markers (MHR, MLR, NLR) are more significant in the CKD group.

Conclusions:

  • Age, smoking history, and eGFR are universal calcification determinants.
  • Inflammatory markers play a more significant role in calcification among CKD patients.
  • Machine learning effectively identified key calcification factors across different populations.
Abstract