The frontiers of intelligent health services: cardiovascular disease prediction using novel machine learning methods

Fande Kong1,2, Zhengyi Song2,3, Qijia Liu1,2

  • 1Nanjing Institute of Inclusive Child Potential Development, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China.

Insights

This study enhances cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction using optimized discriminant analysis models. The LDGO model, combining Linear Discriminant Analysis with the Golf Optimization Algorithm, shows superior accuracy for early intervention.

Area of Science:

  • Medical Informatics
  • Computational Biology
  • Biostatistics

Background:

  • Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause of mortality and a significant factor in aging populations worldwide.
  • Accurate CVD risk assessment is crucial for timely and effective early intervention strategies.
  • Traditional risk assessment models can be enhanced through advanced computational techniques.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the efficacy of integrating optimization algorithms with discriminant analysis models for improved CVD risk prediction.
  • To compare the performance of different optimized models, specifically focusing on the LDGO model.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) and Quadratic Discriminant Analysis (QDA) as baseline models.
  • Integrated optimization algorithms, including the Golf Optimization Algorithm (GOA) and Leader Harris Hawk's Optimization (LHHO), with LDA and QDA.
  • Empirically evaluated the performance of the integrated models, particularly the LDGO model (LDA + GOA).

Main Results:

  • The LDGO model demonstrated high predictive accuracy, achieving 0.948 in the training phase and 0.946 in the test phase.
  • Integration with optimization algorithms significantly improved the performance of discriminant analysis models for CVD risk assessment.
  • The LDGO model emerged as the most effective among the investigated models.

Conclusions:

  • Optimized discriminant analysis models, particularly LDGO, offer a promising approach for enhancing cardiovascular disease risk prediction.
  • These advanced models can facilitate more accurate early detection and intervention, potentially reducing CVD-related mortality and improving health outcomes in aging populations.