Nomogram model for identifying portal vein thrombosis in patients with decompensated cirrhosis

Von Willebrand factor (vWF) plays a key role in hemostasis and is reported to be related to the outcome of advanced chronic liver disease. The present study aimed to investigate the relationship between vWF and other potential variables and portal vein thrombosis (PVT) in patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

Consecutive cirrhotic patients with gastroesophageal varices were admitted to our hospital between January 2020 and September 2022. Patients were prospectively recruited and divided into PVT and non-PVT groups. We collected clinical tests, biochemical tests, coagulation tests, and hemostatic protein profile data to explore the associated factors of PVT.

A total of 128 patients were enrolled including 60 patients with PVT and 68 patients without PVT. Plasma levels of vWF [odds ratio (OR) = 1.015, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.005-1.025, P  = 0.005], D-dimer (OR = 1.967, 95% CI: 1.141-3.389, P  = 0.015), and decreased portal vein velocity (PVV) (OR = 0.852, 95% CI: 0.769-0.944, P  = 0.002) were the variables independently associated with the existence of PVT. Area under the curve (AUC) analyses for vWF, D-dimer, and PVV were 0.779, 0.848, and 0.832, respectively. A nomogram model was established involving the three parameters, and the AUC was 0.919 (95% CI: 0.869-0.969). In the internal validation using bootstrap, the AUC was 0.919 (95% CI: 0.868-0.970).

Higher vWF levels were related to PVT in patients with decompensated cirrhosis, indicating that vWF might serve as a relevant factor for PVT, and a nomogram containing vWF, D-dimer, and PVV could be an important tool for PVT identification in cirrhotic patients.