Equation Built by Multiple Adaptive Regression Spline to Estimate Biological Age in Healthy Postmenopausal Women in...

Background: Biological age (BA) is a better representative of health status than chronological age (CA), as it uses different biological markers to quantify cellular and systemic change status. However, BA can be difficult to accurately estimate using current methods. This study uses multiple adaptive regression spline (MARS) to build an equation to estimate BA among healthy postmenopausal women, thereby potentially improving the efficiency and accuracy of BA assessment. Methods: A total of 11,837 healthy women were enrolled (≥51 years old), excluding participants with metabolic syndrome variable values outside two standard deviations. MARS was applied, with the results compared to traditional multiple linear regression (MLR). The method with the smaller degree of estimation error was considered to be more accurate. The lower prediction errors yielded by MARS compared to the MLR method suggest that MARS performs better than MLR. Results: The equation derived from MARS is depicted. It could be noted that BA could be determined by marriage, systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), waist-hip ratio (WHR), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), creatinine (Cr), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), bone mineral density (BMD), education level, and income. The MARS equation is generated. Conclusions: Using MARS, an equation was built to estimate biological age among healthy postmenopausal women in Taiwan. This equation could be used as a reference for calculating BA in general. Our equation showed that the most important factor was BMD, followed by WHR, Cr, marital status, education level, income, CEA, blood pressure, ALP, and LDH.