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Published on: October 13, 2018
Ramadan During Pregnancy and Offspring Age at Menarche in Indonesia: A Quasi-Experimental Study
Van My Tran1, Reyn van Ewijk1, Fabienne Pradella1,2,3
1Chair of Statistics and Econometrics, Faculty of Law, Management and Economics, Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz, Jakob-Welder-Weg 4, D-55128 Mainz, Germany.
Abstract:
Background/Objectives: Animal models have suggested a link between maternal nutrition and offspring pubertal onset. Due to ethical and practical concerns, human studies on this topic remained scarce and focused on extreme nutritional shocks in high-income settings, such as Dutch famine. This paper expands on these findings by investigating the effects of a milder form of nutritional alteration during pregnancy-Ramadan fasting-in a middle-income context, Indonesia. We use offspring age at menarche (AAM) as an indicator of pubertal timing and female reproductive health. Our research has broader implications beyond the Muslim community, as intermittent fasting during pregnancy is also widely practiced by non-Muslims, e.g., meal-skipping. Methods: We used data from the Indonesian Family Life Survey (1993-2014, n = 8081) and Indonesian Demographic and Health Surveys (2002-2007, n = 13,241). OLS and Cox regressions were applied to compare the AAM of female Muslims who were prenatally exposed to Ramadan and those of female Muslims who were not. Exposure was determined based on the overlap between pregnancy and a Ramadan. We further subdivided this overlap into trimester-specific categories, adjusting for urban-rural residence, birth month, birth year, birth year squared, and survey wave. Results: No associations between Ramadan during pregnancy and AAM were found, irrespective of the pregnancy trimester overlapping with Ramadan. These results were stable when we restricted the sample to women with shorter recall periods and younger women at the time of survey. Conclusions: While subtle restrictions in maternal nutrition during pregnancy are critical for offspring health, the impact on menarcheal onset might be limited.
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