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Real-Time Avalanche Hazard Monitoring System Based on Weather Sensors and a Laser Rangefinder
Natalya Denissova1, Olga Petrova2, Erbolat Mashayev1
1Department of Information Technology, D. Serikbayev East Kazakhstan Technical University, Ust-Kamenogorsk 070000, Kazakhstan.
This study developed an automated avalanche monitoring system for East Kazakhstan, achieving over 98% accuracy in avalanche prediction using logistic regression and meteorological data. This system enhances avalanche hazard prediction and risk management in mountainous regions.
Area of Science:
- Geosciences
- Environmental Monitoring
- Remote Sensing
Background:
- Avalanche hazard prediction is critical for mountainous regions globally.
- Existing monitoring methods often lack continuous, high-resolution data.
- The East Kazakhstan region faces significant avalanche risks.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and field-test a prototype automated avalanche hazard monitoring system.
- To integrate various sensors and data processing capabilities for comprehensive monitoring.
- To assess the system's effectiveness in avalanche prediction.
Main Methods:
- Deployment of a snow avalanche station with environmental sensors (temperature, humidity, pressure, wind).
- Integration of a temperature snow measuring rod and an API for data storage.
- Utilization of autonomous solar power for continuous operation.
- Application of logistic regression for avalanche prediction using collected meteorological data.
Main Results:
- The automated monitoring system demonstrated continuous, high-resolution data collection.
- Field testing identified system strengths and weaknesses.
- Avalanche prediction model achieved over 98% recognition accuracy.
- Regression coefficients derived from meteorological data proved effective for prediction.
Conclusions:
- The developed automated system shows significant promise for improving avalanche risk management.
- The system's high forecasting accuracy supports its practical application.
- The solution is scalable for broader national and international use in avalanche hazard assessment.
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