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A model-free phase I/II dose optimization design for immunotherapy trials
Yingjie Qiu1, Mengyi Lu2, Yan Han3
1Peter O'Donnell Jr. School of Public Health, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA.
Statistical Methods in Medical Research
|May 15, 2025
Summary
We developed a new, model-free clinical trial design called the UFO design to optimize immunotherapy dosage. This approach efficiently models toxicity, efficacy, and immune responses for better treatment outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Clinical Trials
- Immunotherapy
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Optimizing immunotherapy dosage is crucial for maximizing efficacy while minimizing toxicity.
- Existing clinical trial designs often rely on complex parametric models, limiting transparency and efficiency.
- Jointly modeling multiple outcomes like toxicity, efficacy, and immune response is challenging but essential for immunotherapy dose optimization.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce a novel, model-free phase I/II clinical trial design (UFO design) for optimizing immunotherapy dosage.
- To enable efficient information sharing across dose levels by leveraging correlations between toxicity, efficacy, and immune response.
- To extend the UFO design to accommodate delayed outcome data and demonstrate its favorable operating characteristics.
Main Methods:
- Developed a model-free approach for clinical trial design, termed the UFO design.
- Utilized inherent correlations among toxicity, efficacy, and immune response outcomes.
- Incorporated constrained dose-outcome ordering to facilitate information sharing.
- Extended the design to handle delayed outcomes.
Main Results:
- The UFO design demonstrated efficiency and transparency for clinical implementation.
- Simulation studies showed favorable operating characteristics for the proposed design.
- The model-free approach effectively optimizes immunotherapy dosage by jointly modeling multiple outcomes.
Conclusions:
- The UFO design offers a practical and effective model-free strategy for optimizing immunotherapy dosage in clinical trials.
- This approach enhances efficiency and transparency by leveraging outcome correlations and dose-outcome constraints.
- The availability of an R Shiny app facilitates the simulation and implementation of the UFO design in practice.
Keywords:
Phase I/II clinical trialsadmissible setdelayed outcomesdose optimizationimmunotherapyisotonic regressionmodel-freeutility
