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Towards global reaction feasibility and robustness prediction with high throughput data and bayesian deep learning.
Haowen Zhong1, Yilan Liu1, Haibin Sun1
1ChemLex, Shanghai, Shanghai, China.
Nature Communications
|May 15, 2025
Summary
This study integrates high throughput experimentation (HTE) and Bayesian deep learning to predict organic reaction feasibility. The novel approach achieved 89.48% accuracy and significantly reduced data needs for robust industrial process design.
Area of Science:
- Organic Chemistry
- Chemical Engineering
- Machine Learning
Background:
- Predicting organic reaction feasibility and robustness is a significant challenge in chemical development.
- Existing high throughput experimentation (HTE) studies often focus on limited chemical spaces.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a practical framework for predicting organic reaction feasibility and robustness using integrated HTE and Bayesian deep learning.
- To create the most extensive single HTE dataset for acid amine coupling reactions at a volumetric scale.
Main Methods:
- Conducted 11,669 distinct acid amine coupling reactions using an in-house HTE platform over 156 hours.
- Developed and applied a Bayesian neural network model for reaction feasibility prediction.
- Implemented fine-grained uncertainty disentanglement for active learning and out-of-domain detection.
Main Results:
- Achieved a benchmark prediction accuracy of 89.48% for reaction feasibility.
- Demonstrated an 80% reduction in data requirements through efficient active learning.
- Successfully identified out-of-domain reactions and evaluated process robustness against environmental factors.
Conclusions:
- The integrated HTE and Bayesian deep learning approach provides a powerful tool for navigating complex chemical spaces.
- This framework enables the design of highly robust industrial chemical processes with reduced experimental effort.
- The study offers a practical solution for predicting reaction outcomes and assessing scalability.
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