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Lumped-Parameter and Finite Element Modeling of Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction
Published on: February 13, 2021
Where Adults With Heart Failure Die: Insights From the CDC-WONDER Database
Farman Ali1, Shaaf Ahmad2, Aman Ullah3
1Department of Internal Medicine, Corewell Health Dearborn Hospital, Dearborn, MI (F. Ali, T.J.B.).
Insights
Deaths at home for heart failure (HF) patients nearly doubled between 1999 and 2023. This study analyzed HF mortality locations, revealing significant shifts and demographic disparities in end-of-life care settings.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Public Health
- Gerontology
Background:
- Heart failure (HF) is a leading cause of mortality and significant healthcare expenditure.
- Integrating palliative care into HF management is increasingly emphasized.
- Data on end-of-life care locations for HF patients remain limited.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the location and circumstances of death among adults with heart failure in the United States.
- To identify trends in where heart failure patients die over time.
- To examine demographic factors associated with death location in heart failure.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of mortality data from 1999-2023 for individuals aged 20+ with HF as the cause of death.
- Categorization of death locations: emergency room, hospice/nursing home, inpatient facility, or home.
- Multinomial logistic regression to assess associations between demographics and death location.
Main Results:
- Heart failure mortality rates declined until 2010, then increased by 2023.
- Deaths at home nearly doubled from 18.41% in 1999 to 33.47% in 2023.
- Hospice/nursing home deaths peaked in 2017 and declined by 2023; young adults showed higher inpatient deaths.
- Men, White individuals, and those in large metropolitan areas were more likely to die in medical facilities.
Conclusions:
- Significant shifts in end-of-life locations for heart failure patients observed, with a notable rise in home deaths.
- The recent decline in hospice/nursing home deaths warrants further investigation into potential barriers.
- Sociodemographic factors significantly influence disparities in heart failure death locations, requiring further research.
Background:
Heart failure (HF) is associated with high mortality rates and substantial health care costs. While there is growing emphasis on integrating palliative care for patients with HF, limited data exist on the locations where adults with HF spend their final days. The study aimed to analyze the location and circumstances of death among adults with HF in the United States using Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-ranging Online Data for epidemiological Research data.
Methods:
Mortality data from individuals aged ≥20 years, with HF listed as the cause of death between 1999 and 2023, were analyzed. The places of death were categorized as the emergency room, hospice/nursing home, inpatient medical facility, or home. Multinomial logistic regression was performed to examine the associations between demographic factors and death location.
Results:
HF-related mortality rates declined from 1999 (3.60% and 143.6 age-adjusted mortality rate) to 2010 (3.47% and 123.1 age-adjusted mortality rate). However, rates gradually increased thereafter, reaching 5.18% and 168.1 age-adjusted mortality rate in 2023. Deaths at home nearly doubled, rising from 18.41% (50 648 of 275 132) in 1999 to 33.47% (132 470 of 395 826) in 2023. Hospice/nursing home deaths increased from 30.95% (85 144 of 275 132) in 1999 to 34.71% (116 634 of 336 014) in 2017, but declined to 29.54% (116 931 of 395 826) by 2023. Young adults (20-34 years) had the highest proportion of inpatient deaths. Sex, ethnicity, and urbanization were significant predictors of death location, with men, White individuals, and those in large metropolitan areas more likely to die in medical facilities.
Conclusions:
This study underscores the shifting trends in the locations of death among patients with HF, with a ≈2-fold increase in HF-related deaths occurring at home over the past 2 decades. The recent decline in hospice/nursing home deaths, following a period of steady growth, calls for an in-depth examination of contributing barriers. Further research is essential to understand the sociodemographic factors driving disparities in HF-related death locations.
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