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Assessing artificial intelligence ability in predicting hospitalization duration for pleural empyema patients managed
Issa Alnajjar1, Baraa Alshakarnah2, Tasneem AbuShaikha1
1Faculty of Medicine, Al-Quds University, Jerusalem, Palestine.
Background:
This retrospective observational research evaluates the potential applicability of artificial intelligence models to predict the length of hospital stay for patients with pleural empyema who underwent uniportal video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery.
Methods:
Data from 56 patients were analyzed using two artificial intelligence models. A Random Forest Regressor, the initial model, was trained using clinical data unique to each patient. Weighted factors from evidence-based research were incorporated into the second model, which was created using a prediction approach informed by the literature.
Results:
The two models tested showed poor prediction accuracy. The first one had a mean absolute error of 4.56 days and a negative R2 value. The literature-informed model performed similarly, with a mean absolute error of 4.53 days and an R2 below zero.
Conclusions:
While artificial intelligence holds promise in supporting clinical decision-making, this study demonstrates the challenges of predicting length of stay in pleural empyema patients due to significant clinical variability and the current limitations of AI-based models. Future research should focus on integrating larger, multi-center datasets and more advanced machine learning approaches to enhance predictive accuracy.
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