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Performance of the new PREVENT score for indicating subclinical atherosclerosis in rheumatoid arthritis
J Alex B Gibbons1, Joan M Bathon1, Jon T Giles2
1Division of Rheumatology, Columbia University Vagelos College of Physicians & Surgeons, New York, NY, USA.
Insights
The updated PREVENT algorithm does not better predict subclinical atherosclerosis in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients than the older Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE). Neither tool adequately identifies cardiovascular disease risk in this high-risk RA population.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Rheumatology
- Medical Imaging
Background:
- Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients face elevated risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).
- Traditional 10-year cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk calculators, like the 2013 Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE), often underperform in RA populations.
- Subclinical atherosclerosis detection is crucial for accurate CVD risk assessment in RA.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the performance of the PCE against the updated PREVENT algorithm in identifying subclinical coronary and carotid atherosclerosis in RA patients.
- To evaluate the utility of different PREVENT scores (Total CVD, ASCVD, Total CVD + uACR) in this context.
Main Methods:
- Patients with RA and no known CVD underwent chest CT for coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring and carotid artery ultrasound for plaque detection.
- PCE and three 10-year PREVENT scores were calculated for each patient.
- The predictive performance of PCE and PREVENT scores for CAC and carotid plaque was compared using area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC).
Main Results:
- Both PCE and PREVENT scores were significantly associated with the presence of CAC and carotid plaque.
- The PCE demonstrated a higher AUROC (0.775) than the PREVENT ASCVD score (0.723) in predicting CAC >0 (P=0.034).
- No significant difference in AUROC was observed between PCE and PREVENT scores for predicting carotid plaque.
Conclusions:
- The updated PREVENT algorithm does not offer improved prediction of subclinical coronary or carotid atherosclerosis in RA patients compared to the PCE.
- Given the known underperformance of PCE in RA, the PREVENT algorithm is unlikely to adequately predict future CVD events in this population.
- Further research is needed to develop accurate CVD risk prediction tools for RA patients.
Objectives:
Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are at increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), yet traditional 10-year CVD risk calculators - such as the 2013 Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE) - underperform in RA. Our objective was to determine the performance of the PCE vs the updated PREVENT algorithm in indicating presence of subclinical coronary and carotid atherosclerosis in RA.
Methods:
Patients with RA without known CVD underwent chest CT to quantify a coronary artery calcium (CAC) score and carotid artery ultrasound to determine presence of carotid artery plaque. The PCE score and three 10-year PREVENT scores - Total CVD, ASCVD and Total CVD with urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) - were calculated; scores were compared in their performance to indicate CAC and presence of carotid plaque.
Results:
The PCE score was significantly different from each of the PREVENT scores (P < 0.001). The PCE and the PREVENT scores were significantly associated with all levels of CAC and carotid plaque. In predicting CAC >0, the PREVENT ASCVD score area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was 0.723, lower than the PCE AUROC of 0.775 (P = 0.034). For carotid plaque, there was no difference in AUROC between the PCE and the PREVENT ASCVD, PREVENT Total CVD score or PREVENT Total CVD + uACR score.
Conclusion:
The newly updated PREVENT scores are not better than the prior PCE for indicating subclinical coronary and carotid atherosclerosis in RA. Because the PCE score already underperforms in RA patients, it is unlikely that the PREVENT algorithm will adequately predict CVD event risk in this population.
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