Current Evolutionary Dynamics of Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus (PEDV) in the U.S. a Decade After Introduction

Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea Virus (PEDV) was introduced in the United States (U.S.) in 2013, spreading rapidly and leading to economic losses. Two strains, S-INDEL and non-S-INDEL, are present in the U.S. We analyzed 313 genomes and 556 Spike protein sequences generated since its introduction. PEDV case numbers were highest during the first two years after its introduction (epidemic phase), then declined and stabilized in the following years (endemic phase). Sequence surveillance was higher during the initial epidemic phase. Our results suggest the non-S-INDEL strain is the predominant strain in U.S. The non-S-INDEL sequences exhibit pairwise nucleotide identity percentages above 97.6%. Most non-S-INDEL sequences sampled after 2017 clustered into two sub-clades. No descendants derived from other clades present in the epidemic period were detected in the contemporary data, suggesting that these clades are no longer circulating in the U.S. The two clades currently circulating are restricted to two respective geographic regions and our results suggest limited inter-regional spread. This insight helps determine the risk of re-introduction of PEDV if it were regionally eliminated. Ongoing molecular surveillance is essential to confirming that some older clades no longer circulate anymore in the U.S., mapping the distribution and spread of recent clades, and understanding PEDV's evolutionary diversification.