Integrated PBPK modelling for PFOA exposure and risk assessment

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) pose significant public health concerns due to their environmental persistence, bioaccumulation, and ubiquitous presence in human biomonitoring (HBM) data, despite regulatory restrictions. This study establishes a deterministic pharmacokinetic model for perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA), enabling the estimation of PFOA concentrations in major human organs, even at low doses. The model integrates accumulation and recirculation mechanisms of PFOA in hepatic and renal tissues, leveraging publicly available HBM datasets (e.g., HBM4EU, NHANES, literature) to reconstruct bodyweight-normalized intake levels. Importantly, due to the extremely low urinary excretion concentrations of PFOA, most datasets were derived from blood-based measurements, particularly serum while confirming urine as unreliable biomarker of exposure. The analysis underscores the effectiveness of regulatory efforts in reducing PFOA exposures, as evidenced by declining time-trends in estimated exposure levels in recent studies. Risk characterization ratios were calculated based on recommended limits set by the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), the United States, and Australia. While EFSA's tolerable weekly intake (TWI) indicated a high risk, other regulatory limits suggested less concern about risk at these intake levels. These findings highlight the need for continuous re-evaluation of exposures and targeted studies to identify key determinants of PFOA exposure, informing future regulatory measures. The study emphasizes the critical role of physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling, HBM data, and exposure reconstruction in advancing chemical risk assessment. These tools form a science-based framework integral to the Chemical Strategy for Sustainability (CSS), enabling accurate predictions of internal exposure levels, empirical validation of models, and robust assessments of real-world exposure scenarios. The integration of these approaches supports the CSS goals of minimizing chemical risks while promoting innovation, ultimately contributing to a sustainable and protective regulatory landscape for human health and the environment.