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Educational Expansions and Fertility: Evidence from Norwegian College Reforms
Adrian Farner Rogne1,2, Agnes Fauske3,4, Rannveig Kaldager Hart5,6
1Institute for Social Research, Oslo, Norway. a.f.rogne@samfunnsforskning.no.
Establishing local colleges in Norway did not significantly affect women's fertility rates or family formation. This study examined the impact of increased higher education access on demographic trends.
Area of Science:
- Sociology
- Demography
- Economics
Background:
- Educational expansion and increased female attainment correlate with fertility decline and family structure changes.
- Local colleges may offer a pathway to higher education, influencing these demographic shifts.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate if establishing regional colleges in Norway influenced fertility, family formation, and mobility.
- To assess the impact of increased access to higher education via local colleges.
Main Methods:
- Utilized population-wide administrative register data and historical sources from Norway (1973-83).
- Employed an event study design with difference-in-differences methodology.
- Analyzed cohort fertility, age-specific fertility, age at marriage, and regional mobility.
Main Results:
- Access to local colleges showed no substantial impact on fertility levels.
- No significant effects were observed on family formation patterns.
- Regional mobility and age at marriage remained largely unaffected.
Conclusions:
- The establishment of local colleges in Norway did not act as a significant mechanism driving changes in fertility or family formation.
- Increased access to higher education through regional colleges did not substantially alter key demographic behaviors.
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