Calculation of the uncertainty in the dose delivered during radiation therapy

There is, inevitably, uncertainty in our knowledge of the dose at any point within an irradiated patient. A technique is presented for estimating this uncertainty by performing three parallel calculations, one using nominal values and the others extreme values of the parameters upon which the dose depends. Such calculations can be made with almost any algorithm for calculating dose. They result in an estimate, at some specified confidence level which is determined by the data used, of the range of dose likely at any point. Such calculations should help therapists to avert over- or underdosage which might not be evident in conventional calculations of the nominal dose.