SPC: a SPectral Component approach leveraging Identity-by-Descent graphs to address recent population structure in...

Population structure is a well-known confounder in statistical genetics, particularly in genome-wide association studies (GWAS), where it can lead to inflated test statistics and spurious associations. Traditional methods, such as principal components (PCs), commonly used to adjust for population structure, are limited in capturing fine-scale, non-linear patterns that arise from recent demographic events - patterns that are crucial for understanding rare variant effects. To address this challenge, we propose a novel method called SPectral Components (SPCs), which leverages identity-by-descent (IBD) graphs to capture and transform local, non-linear fine-scale population structure into continuous representations that can be seamlessly integrated into genetic analysis pipelines. Using both simulated datasets and empirical data from the UK Biobank (N ≈ 420,000), we demonstrate that SPCs outperform PCs in adjusting for fine-scale population structure. In simulations, SPCs explained over 90% of the fine-scale population structure with fewer components, while PCs captured less than 5%. In the UK Biobank, SPCs reduced the inflation of p-values in the GWAS of an environmental-driven phenotype by 12% compared to PCs, while maintaining a similar performance to PCs in height, a highly heritable phenotype. Additionally, SPCs improved rare variant association analyses, reducing genomic inflation (e.g., from 7.6 to 1.2 in one analysis), and provided more accurate heritability estimates. Spatial autocorrelation analysis further confirmed the ability of SPCs to account for environmental effects, reducing Moran's I for both environmental and heritable phenotypes more effectively than PCs. Overall, our findings demonstrate that SPCs provide a robust, scalable adjustment for recent population structure, offering a powerful alternative or complement to PCs in large-scale biobank studies.