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Artificial Intelligence Applications in Obstetric Risk Prediction: A Systematic Review of Machine Learning Models for
Nagla Osman Mohamed Dkeen1, Madina Eltayeb Dawelbait Radwan2, Israa Ali Alnaw Zumam3
1Obstetrics and Gynecology, Najran Armed Forces Hospital, Ministry of Defense Health Services, Najran, SAU.
Machine learning models show high accuracy in predicting preeclampsia, a major cause of maternal mortality. Ensemble methods like XGBoost and Random Forest are particularly effective, but further validation is needed for clinical use.
Area of Science:
- Obstetrics and Gynecology
- Medical Informatics
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Preeclampsia is a significant global health concern, contributing to maternal and perinatal mortality.
- Traditional prediction models for preeclampsia have demonstrated limited accuracy.
- Machine learning (ML) offers advanced capabilities for analyzing complex, non-linear data in multidimensional datasets for improved prediction.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically review and evaluate the performance, methodological quality, and clinical applicability of ML models for preeclampsia prediction.
- To identify key predictors and assess the risk of bias in ML models for preeclampsia.
- To synthesize evidence on the discriminative ability of ML approaches in preeclampsia prediction.
Main Methods:
- A systematic review adhering to PRISMA 2020 guidelines was conducted across five major databases.
- Studies developing or validating ML models for preeclampsia prediction were included, with data extracted up to April 15, 2025.
- The Prediction Model Risk-of-Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) was used to assess the risk of bias.
Main Results:
- Eleven studies involving 116,253 pregnancies were included.
- Ensemble ML methods (XGBoost, Random Forest) achieved high performance (AUCs 0.84–0.973).
- Key predictors identified were mean arterial pressure, prior preeclampsia history, placental growth factor (PlGF), and pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A).
Conclusions:
- ML models, especially ensemble methods, demonstrate strong discriminative power for preeclampsia prediction.
- Heterogeneity in predictors and limited external validation hinder widespread clinical adoption.
- Future research should focus on prospective validation with standardized protocols for clinical translation.
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