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Public Discourse Toward Older Drivers in Japan Using Social Media Data From 2010 to 2022: Longitudinal Analysis.
Akito Nakanishi1, Masao Ichikawa2, Yukie Sano3
1Graduate School of Science and Technology, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan.
Public discourse on older drivers on Japanese Twitter shows increasing negative sentiment and perceived risk, despite declining crash rates. This highlights a need for balanced understanding and policy review regarding older adult mobility.
Area of Science:
- Social Science
- Gerontology
- Transportation Studies
Background:
- Global population aging intensifies concerns regarding older drivers.
- Japanese surveys show persistent negative public sentiment towards older drivers, contrasting with their actual safety record.
- Social media discourse significantly shapes public perceptions of older drivers.
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantify long-term public discourse on older drivers in Japan using Twitter (X) data.
- To analyze sentiments, topics, and their correlations within tweets about older drivers.
- To understand the evolution of public perception versus actual driving safety data.
Main Methods:
- Collected 2,625,807 Japanese tweets related to older drivers from 2010-2022.
- Conducted sentiment analysis using the Linguistic Inquiry and Word Count dictionary.
- Employed non-negative matrix factorization for topic modeling and correlation analyses with crash rates.
Main Results:
- Tweet volume increased over time, with peaks correlating to major traffic crashes.
- Predominantly negative sentiments (62.42%), anger (17.38%), anxiety (18.59%), and risk (58.15%) were identified.
- The 'crash events' topic correlated strongly with negative emotion (r=0.76) and risk (r=0.72).
Conclusions:
- 13-year Twitter data analysis reveals a paradox: increasing negative sentiment and perceived risk despite declining older driver crash rates.
- Findings suggest a need to re-evaluate licensing policies and promote advanced technologies like self-driving systems.
- A more balanced public understanding is crucial to mitigate prejudice and support safe mobility for older adults.
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