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Multidimensional Performance Assessments in U15 Female Soccer: The Predictive Validity for Different Selection Levels
Daniel Leyhr1,2, Fynn Bergmann1, Johannes Raabe3
1Institute of Sports Science, Eberhard Karls University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany.
European Journal of Sport Science
|June 26, 2025
Summary
This study on U15 female soccer players found that combining objective and subjective assessments predicts future success. Sprint performance and tactical skills are key indicators for elite female soccer talent identification.
Area of Science:
- Sports Science
- Talent Identification and Development
- Football (Soccer) Research
Background:
- Female players are underrepresented in soccer talent research, with a lack of prospective studies on predictive validity for adult success.
- Existing research often overlooks multidimensional factors crucial for identifying and developing female soccer talent.
- Prospective studies are needed to validate performance metrics for predicting selection levels in female youth soccer.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the predictive validity of multidimensional performance factors for the future success of U15 female players.
- To compare the predictive power of objective versus subjective assessments in talent identification for female soccer.
- To identify key performance indicators for selecting players into higher levels of female youth and professional soccer.
Main Methods:
- Prospective cohort study involving 264 U15 female players in a German Football Association Talent Development program.
- Subjective assessments included kicking, tactical, and psychosocial skills, and endurance capacity.
- Objective assessments comprised five motor tests: sprint, agility (CODS), dribbling, ball control, and juggling.
Main Results:
- Both objective and subjective assessments showed predictive validity for future success across different selection levels (U17 Bundesliga, U17 Youth National Team, Women's Bundesliga).
- Combining objective and subjective predictors significantly increased explained variance for U17 Bundesliga (16%) and Women's Bundesliga (31%) participation.
- Sprint performance was significant across models, while tactical skills were the sole significant subjective predictor for Women's Bundesliga selection.
Conclusions:
- Multidimensional assessments, combining objective and subjective measures, are valuable for predicting female soccer player success.
- Sprint performance and tactical skills are crucial predictors for identifying elite female soccer talent.
- Enhancing coach ratings could further improve the accuracy of talent identification in female youth soccer.
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