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Design and Implementation of an LSTM Model with Embeddings on MCUs for Prediction of Meteorological Variables
Jhan Piero Paulo Merma Yucra1, David Juan Cerezo Quina1, German Alberto Echaiz Espinoza1
1Professional School of Electronic Engineering, Universidad Nacional de San Agustín de Arequipa, Arequipa 04002, Peru.
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The use of recurrent neural networks has proven effective in time series prediction tasks such as weather. However, their use in resource-limited systems such as MCUs presents difficulties in terms of both size and stability with longer prediction windows. In this context, we propose a variant of the LSTM model, which we call SE-LSTM (Single Embedding LSTM), which uses embedding techniques to vectorially represent seasonality and latent patterns through variables such as temperature and humidity. The proposal is systematically compared in two parts: The first compares it against other reference architectures such as CNN-LSTM, TCN, LMU, and TPA-LSTM. The second stage, which includes implementation, compares it against the CNN-LSTM, LSTM, and TCN networks. Metrics such as the MAE and MSE are used along with the network weight, a crucial aspect for MCUs such as an ESP32 or Raspberry Pi Pico. An analysis of the memory usage, energy consumption, and generalization across different regions is also included. The results show that the use of embedding optimizes the network space without sacrificing the performance, which is crucial for edge computing. This research is part of a larger project, which focuses on improving agricultural monitoring systems.
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However, the point estimate is most likely not the exact value of the population parameter, but close to it. After calculating point estimates, we construct interval estimates, called confidence intervals or prediction intervals. This prediction interval comprises a range of values unlike the point estimate and is a better predictor of the observed sample value, y.
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