Related Experiment Video
Updated: Sep 18, 2025

A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
Higher healthcare use before paediatric multiple sclerosis onset: a nationwide cohort study
Kyla Anne McKay1,2, Ali Manouchehrinia1,3, Feng Zhu4
1Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm 171 77, Sweden.
Insights
Increased healthcare use in children 1-10 years before diagnosis suggests a prodromal phase for paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (MS). This period showed more visits for symptoms, skin issues, and neoplasms in children later diagnosed with MS.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Epidemiology
- Healthcare Research
Background:
- Paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (MS) presentation is preceded by increased healthcare utilization, suggesting a prodromal phase.
- Limited research exists on the duration and characteristics of this pre-symptomatic period in paediatric MS.
- Few studies have analyzed clinical cohorts to investigate healthcare use before symptom onset.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare healthcare use patterns in the years preceding paediatric-onset MS diagnosis between clinical and administrative cohorts and matched non-MS cohorts.
- To identify specific healthcare encounters and prescriptions indicative of a potential prodromal phase in paediatric MS.
Main Methods:
- Utilized Swedish Multiple Sclerosis registry and administrative data to identify paediatric-onset MS cases (≥3 MS diagnostic codes).
- Matched paediatric MS cases (<18 years at onset) with up to five controls from the general population based on sex, birth year, and residence.
- Analyzed annual rates of hospital/outpatient diagnoses (ICD chapters) and prescription fills (ATC system) up to 17 years pre-index using Quasi-Poisson regression.
Main Results:
- Individuals with paediatric-onset MS showed elevated healthcare use 1-10 years before symptom onset compared to controls.
- Commonly observed pre-index encounters included prescriptions for dermatological corticosteroids, visits for ill-defined symptoms, and unassigned ICD codes.
- In the year preceding onset, paediatric MS patients had higher rates of visits for neoplasms, nervous system disorders, and sense organ conditions.
Conclusions:
- Elevated healthcare use primarily in the 1-10 years before diagnosis supports a prodromal phase in paediatric-onset MS.
- The prodromal phase is characterized by increased encounters for non-specific symptoms, neoplasms, and dermatological issues.
- Findings highlight the potential for early identification of at-risk individuals through analysis of pre-diagnostic healthcare data.
Abstract:
Evidence of increased healthcare use occurring before paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis presentation suggests a prodromal phase. However, little is known of its duration or features, and few studies have accessed a clinical cohort to examine the period before symptom onset. We compared annual rates of healthcare use before paediatric multiple sclerosis onset in clinical and administrative cohorts versus matched non-multiple sclerosis cohorts. We identified persons with paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis from the Swedish Multiple Sclerosis registry and population-based administrative data using a validated algorithm requiring ≥3 hospital or outpatient multiple sclerosis diagnostic codes recorded on separate dates. The index date was multiple sclerosis symptom onset, as recorded in the multiple sclerosis registry by a neurologist (clinical cohort) or the earliest demyelinating disease-related International Classification of Diseases code (administrative cohort). Individuals with age at index <18 years were matched with up to five individuals from the general population on sex, birth year, county of residence at the index date and residency time. Healthcare use was measured as hospital/outpatient diagnoses (International Classification of Diseases chapters) and prescription drug classes (Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical classification system, 2nd level). Yearly rates of hospital and outpatient visits (up to 17 years pre-index) and prescription fills (up to 14 years pre-index) were compared using Quasi-Poisson regression. The clinical/administrative cohorts included 233/206 paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis and 1151/1011 matched individuals, with a mean age at the index of 16 years (standard deviation: 2) in all four groups. In both cohorts, individuals with paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis exhibited elevated healthcare use predominantly 1-10 years pre-index, including, for example, higher prescriptions filled for corticosteroids for dermatological use (rate ratio range: 2.61-3.91) and outpatient visits for ill-defined signs/symptoms (rate ratio range: 2.17-8.64) and unassigned ICD codes (rate ratio range: 2.20-4.17). In the year pre-index, individuals with paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis in both cohorts exhibited higher rates of outpatient visits for neoplasms, nervous system disorders, sense organ conditions, ill-defined signs/symptoms and 'other health system contact' (rate ratio range: 2.05-18.00). In the same year, the clinical cohort also had higher rates of prescription fills for 'other gynecologicals' (4.08, 95% confidence interval: 1.04-16.09), and the administrative cohort had higher rates for prescriptions filled across eight drug classes (rate ratio range: 1.56-6.49). Healthcare use was higher primarily in the 1-10 years before paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis versus a matched cohort, suggestive of a prodromal phase. During this period, the paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis cohort was more often identified as having ill-defined signs/symptoms, neoplasms and skin-related issues.
Related Concept Videos
Prevalence and Incidence
Prevalence indicates the proportion of individuals in a population who have a specific disease or health...
Longitudinal Research

