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Published on: January 11, 2019
Randomized Controlled Trials Evaluating Carpal Tunnel Release Are Statistically Fragile: A Systematic Review
Julian V Javier1, Michaela Corvi2, Graham Sabo1
1Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Statistical outcomes in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for carpal tunnel release (CTR) are often fragile. A median of just 5 patients could reverse study findings, urging cautious interpretation and reporting of statistical stability metrics.
Area of Science:
- Orthopedic Surgery
- Biostatistics
- Clinical Trial Methodology
Background:
- Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for carpal tunnel release (CTR) frequently report P-values without assessing statistical stability.
- This limits the reliability of findings influencing surgical decision-making.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the statistical stability of RCTs assessing CTR approaches using fragility index (FI), reverse fragility index (rFI), and fragility quotient (FQ).
Main Methods:
- A systematic literature search of PubMed, Embase, and Medline was conducted for RCTs on CTR published between January 1, 2000, and January 31, 2024.
- Fragility metrics (FI, rFI, FQ) were calculated for study outcomes to quantify statistical robustness.
Main Results:
- Twelve RCTs with 43 outcomes were included.
- The pooled median fragility index (FI) was 5 (interquartile range 4-6.5), indicating that a median of 5 patients could alter statistical significance.
- This suggests that the statistical significance of outcomes in CTR RCTs is potentially fragile.
Conclusions:
- Statistical outcomes in RCTs analyzing CTR approaches demonstrate fragility and require cautious interpretation.
- Co-reporting FI, rFI, and FQ alongside P-values is recommended for comprehensive reliability assessment to aid surgeon decision-making.
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