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Recurrent child protection involvement in Quebec: A multinomial logistic regression analysis
Johanna Caldwell1, Tonino Esposito2
1School of Social Work, McGill University, 550 Sherbrooke Street West Suite 100, Montreal, Quebec H3A 1B9, Canada.
Child Abuse & Neglect
|July 1, 2025
Summary
Over a third of children in child protection services return for the same reason, with socioeconomic factors not significantly predicting recurrence. Understanding these patterns is key for effective family support.
Area of Science:
- Child welfare research
- Public health policy
- Sociology of the family
Background:
- Children involved with child protection services often experience recurrent involvement.
- Socioeconomic vulnerabilities may be present but do not predict recurrent child protection involvement.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the reasons for recurrent child protection involvement among children experiencing recurrence.
- To identify patterns in re-entry into the child protection system.
Main Methods:
- Utilized multinomial logistic regression analysis on anonymized administrative child protection data from Quebec, Canada (2002-2017).
- Included 24,809 children with initial substantiation and case opening, with recurrence data from 76,176 children.
- Controlled for socioeconomic vulnerability, age, and sex to predict recurrence reasons.
Main Results:
- Over one-third of recurrent cases returned to child protection for the same reason as the initial substantiation.
- The odds of recurring for the same reasons were statistically significant across most categories.
- Socioeconomic vulnerability was not significantly associated with increased odds of recurrence for any identified reason.
Conclusions:
- Understanding the likelihood of re-entry for similar or different reasons is crucial for improving child protection policies and practices.
- Findings can inform more efficient funding allocation for prevention and support services for at-risk families.
- Identifies specific reasons for recurrence to tailor interventions effectively.
Keywords:
Child protectionChronic child protection involvementMultinomial logistic regressionRecurrenceMore Related Videos
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