Predictors of long-term knowledge retention in the driver theory test

To obtain a driver's licence, one must successfully complete a practical driving test and a theory test. Although the theory test is widely regarded as an important element of driving competence, little is known about the predictors of theory test performance, and in particular the extent to which the acquired knowledge is retained over the years. All individuals who passed a car theory test in the Netherlands between November 2019 and October 2023 were invited to complete a questionnaire, which included a retention test (i.e., a representative retake test) consisting of 20 items not used before. The results based on 50,857 respondents revealed that those with a lower level of education exhibited lower performance on the retention test. Moreover, respondents who took a course with an instructor, an approach mostly used by those with a lower level of education, had a relatively high likelihood of passing the official car theory test on the first attempt. It was also found that the extent to which knowledge increased or decreased over the years was item-dependent, a pattern possibly explained by whether the test item measures functionally relevant driving experiences or if it primarily assesses isolated rules. The results of this study are relevant for training institutes and policymakers.