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4D hypercomplex-valued neural network in multivariate time series forecasting.

Radosław Kycia1, Agnieszka Niemczynowicz2

  • 1Faculty of Computer Science and Telecommunications, Cracow University of Technology, Kraków, Poland.

Scientific Reports
|July 3, 2025
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Hypercomplex neural networks (NNs) offer efficient multivariate time series forecasting. Architectures with dense hypercomplex layers provide comparable accuracy to other models but require fewer parameters, enabling faster data processing.

Keywords:
4D hypercomplex algebrasClifford algebrasConvolutional neural networksCoquaternionsHypercomplex-valued neural networksHyperparametrs optimizationLSTMQuaternionsTimes series forecasting

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Area of Science:

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Machine Learning
  • Financial Forecasting

Background:

  • Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial in finance.
  • Traditional neural network architectures can be computationally intensive.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate hypercomplex neural network architectures for multivariate time series forecasting.
  • To compare the performance of different input layer types (convolutional, LSTM, dense) within hypercomplex models.

Main Methods:

  • Testing three classes of four-dimensional (4D) hypercomplex neural network architectures.
  • Utilizing four related Stock Market multivariate time series datasets.
  • Performing hyperparameter optimization for each architecture class.

Main Results:

  • Hypercomplex dense layers achieved comparable Mean Absolute Error (MAE) accuracy to other architectures.
  • Models with hypercomplex dense layers had significantly fewer trainable parameters.
  • Hypercomplex neural networks processed time series data faster.

Conclusions:

  • Hypercomplex neural networks are effective for multivariate time series forecasting.
  • Dense hypercomplex layers offer an efficient alternative with reduced computational cost.
  • Input time series ordering impacts model performance.