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Identification of Prognostic Factors for Sepsis or Septic Shock Patients with Cardiac Dysfunction
Jinsheng Tian1, Yan Liu1, Yutong Zhao1
1Intensive Care Unit, The First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan City, 030001, Shanxi Province, China.
Insights
A new risk score using diabetes history, CRP, and NT-proBNP can predict 28-day mortality in sepsis-induced cardiac dysfunction (SIC) patients. This tool offers valuable short-term prognostic insight for clinical decision-making.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Critical Care Medicine
- Biomarkers
Background:
- Sepsis-induced cardiac dysfunction (SIC) poses significant mortality risks.
- Current prognostic tools for SIC lack comprehensive multi-index utility.
- Identifying reliable predictors for short-term outcomes in SIC is clinically crucial.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a "risk score" for predicting 28-day mortality in patients with SIC.
- To identify key clinical indexes that serve as independent risk factors for SIC mortality.
- To establish prognostic thresholds for critical biomarkers in SIC.
Main Methods:
- Lasso regression and COX regression analyses were employed.
- Independent risk factors for 28-day mortality were identified.
- Prognostic thresholds for C-reactive protein (CRP) and NT-proBNP were determined.
Main Results:
- A history of diabetes, CRP, and NT-proBNP on day 3 were identified as independent risk factors for 28-day mortality.
- The high-risk group identified by the Cox regression analysis showed a hazard ratio of 24.74 (95% CI: 5.90-103.71).
- Prognostic thresholds were established at 83.3 mg/L for CRP and 1720.7 ng/L for NT-proBNP.
Conclusions:
- A novel "risk score" model incorporating diabetes history, CRP, and NT-proBNP effectively predicts 28-day mortality in SIC patients.
- This multi-index approach provides valuable short-term prognostic insight.
- The developed risk score can aid clinicians in risk stratification and management of SIC.
Abstract:
Myocardial markers and inflammatory factors have been identified as risk factors for the development of sepsis-induced cardiac dysfunction (SIC), the prognostic significance and clinical utility of utilizing a multi-index combined prognostic approach remain uncertain. Our objective was to establish a "risk score" utilizing clinical indexes to provide short-term prognostic insight for individuals with SIC. Utilizing Lasso regression and COX regression analysis, we identified a history of diabetes, CRP, and NT-proBNP on day 3 as independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in SIC patients. Specifically, the Cox regression analysis identified a hazard ratio of 24.74 (95% CI: 5.90-103.71) for the high-risk group. The prognostic thresholds for CRP and NT-proBNP were determined to be 83.3 mg/L and 1720.7 ng/L, respectively. In conclusion, a "risk score" predictive model incorporating diabetes history, CRP, and NT-proBNP was developed to assess 28-day mortality in patients with SIC.
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