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Cross-Continental Analysis Shows That Disturbance Effects on Reptile Body Condition Do Not Predict Abundance
Kristina J Macdonald1,2, Don A Driscoll2, Michael D Craig3
1Research Institute for the Environment and Livelihoods, Charles Darwin University, Darwin, Northern Territory, Australia.
Ecological disturbances impact reptile populations, but body condition does not reliably predict abundance declines. Monitoring programs should verify the body condition-abundance link before inferring population impacts.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Conservation Biology
- Herpetology
Background:
- Ecological disturbances alter ecosystems, potentially causing animal population declines.
- The risk-disturbance hypothesis suggests declining body condition predicts population collapse, but empirical evidence is lacking.
- The general relationship between reptile body condition and abundance, especially in response to disturbance, remains understudied.
Purpose of the Study:
- To empirically test the relationship between reptile body condition and abundance across various studies and species.
- To investigate if population abundance and body condition show linked changes in response to ecological disturbances.
- To determine if environmental and species traits influence the body condition-abundance relationship and if there are time-lagged effects.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a combined dataset from 33 studies with over 42,000 observations of 75 reptile species.
- Analyzed the body condition-abundance relationship at the site level.
- Employed meta-analytical models to assess linked changes in abundance and body condition in response to disturbance.
Main Results:
- A positive relationship was observed between mean reptile body condition and abundance at the site level.
- This positive relationship was largely absent when examining population responses to disturbance.
- Results did not support the risk-disturbance hypothesis and offered limited support for the population collapse framework.
Conclusions:
- Disturbance impacts on reptile body condition do not necessarily reflect or predict changes in population abundance.
- Disturbances can decouple the relationship between abundance and body condition by altering factors like predation and resource availability.
- Monitoring programs should validate the body condition-abundance link within specific systems before using body condition as a proxy for population status.
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