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On Rooting and Dating Viral Trees With a Changing Evolutionary Rate Following Host-Switching.

Xuhua Xia1,2

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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Viral host switching can alter evolutionary rates, with sigmoidal models better capturing these changes than linear ones. This study introduces a new model and software for analyzing viral evolution, applied to SARS-CoV-2.

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Area of Science:

  • Virology
  • Evolutionary Biology
  • Computational Biology

Background:

  • Viral host-switching events can lead to significant changes in viral evolutionary rates.
  • Previous models often used linear functions to describe rate changes over short time intervals.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To present a novel mathematical model for viral evolutionary rates during host switching.
  • To implement and apply this model using user-friendly software for phylogenetic analysis.
  • To investigate the evolutionary dynamics of early SARS-CoV-2.

Main Methods:

  • Development of a sigmoidal function to model viral evolutionary rate changes.
  • Implementation of rooting and dating methods in the TRAD program.
  • Application of the model to a phylogeny of early SARS-CoV-2 genomes.

Main Results:

  • The sigmoidal-rate model provided a significantly better fit to SARS-CoV-2 evolution compared to a constant-rate model.
  • An increase in the evolutionary rate of SARS-CoV-2 was observed in late February 2020, primarily driven by the D614G lineage.
  • The common ancestor of the analyzed SARS-CoV-2 genomes was dated to November 20, 2019.

Conclusions:

  • Sigmoidal models are superior to linear models for describing viral evolutionary rate changes during host adaptation.
  • The TRAD program offers a valuable tool for phylogenetic analysis of viral evolution.
  • The findings provide insights into the early evolutionary trajectory of SARS-CoV-2.